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Samsung is expected to more than double output of its HBM4 and HBM4E DRAM (en.sedaily.com)

561 points by giuliomagnifico · 21 days ago · 459 comments on HN

Article summary

Samsung is expected to more than double its production of HBM4 and HBM4E DRAM next year, with a planned increase in glass carrier production and a shift in output towards these high-bandwidth memory chips. This expansion is expected to lead to a decrease in the production of consumer-grade DRAM. The company's total DRAM production capacity is expected to grow to 250,000 wafers per month, with HBM4 and HBM4E making up 80% of output. The increase in HBM production is driven by growing demand from data centers and AI applications.

Main themes

  • DRAM production
  • HBM expansion
  • price trends
  • industry collusion
  • AI and data center demand
  • supply and demand imbalance

What commenters say

  • The shift in production towards HBM will lead to higher prices for consumer-grade DRAM due to decreased supply.
  • The market will eventually correct itself and lead to lower prices for DRAM as supply and demand balance out.
  • The DRAM industry is prone to price fixing and collusion, which will prevent prices from decreasing despite changes in supply and demand.
  • The increased production of HBM will not be enough to meet the growing demand for AI and data center applications.
  • The expansion of HBM production will lead to a decrease in the production of other types of memory, such as DDR5.
  • The industry's focus on HBM production will lead to a shortage of consumer-grade DRAM, causing prices to rise.
  • The market will not be able to correct itself in the short term, leading to a prolonged period of high prices for DRAM.