The article discusses the author's shift in perspective on AI, from believing in the possibility of a hard takeoff to a more nuanced view that considers the complexities of reality. The author argues that intelligence is not the only factor in achieving goals and that AI systems are subject to the same laws of the universe and ecology as humans. The author also emphasizes the importance of local AI models that are aligned with the user's interests, rather than centralized models controlled by corporations or governments. The article uses a provocative example to illustrate the potential risks of centralized AI systems.