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US and Iran agree to provisional ceasefire (theguardian.com)

605 points by g-b-r · 99 days ago · 2031 comments on HN

Article summary

The US and Iran have agreed to a two-week conditional ceasefire, with Iran reopening the Strait of Hormuz. The agreement was reached after a last-minute diplomatic intervention led by Pakistan, canceling an ultimatum from US President Donald Trump for Iran to surrender or face destruction. The ceasefire includes a temporary reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, a key conduit for global energy supply. The agreement has been welcomed by several countries, but its implications and potential outcomes are still uncertain.

Main themes

  • US-Iran relations
  • Middle East conflict
  • Ceasefire agreement
  • Global energy supply
  • Diplomatic intervention
  • Trump administration

What commenters say

  • The US threatened genocide and then backed down, which undermines its credibility and shows that its threats are not taken seriously.
  • The ceasefire is a positive development, but it is uncertain whether it will lead to a lasting peace or if the US will follow through on its commitments.
  • Iran has no incentive to negotiate with the US due to its perceived unreliability, and the US has weakened its own credibility through its actions.
  • The agreement may be an attempt by the US to manipulate the price of oil and gain economic benefits, rather than a genuine effort to achieve peace.
  • The US and Iran have fundamentally different interpretations of the agreement, with Iran claiming that the US has recognized its control over the Strait of Hormuz and accepted its nuclear enrichment program.
  • The true extent of the damage caused by the conflict is unclear due to a lack of free press in the region, and both sides may be hiding or downplaying the effects.
  • The agreement is seen as a humiliating defeat for the US, and it may have significant implications for the balance of power in the region and the relationships between the US, Iran, and other countries.