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CIA now favors lab leak theory to explain Covid's origins (nytimes.com)

632 points by doctaj · 556 days ago · 798 comments on HN

Article summary

The CIA now favors the lab leak theory as the origin of Covid-19, although the agency has low confidence in its finding. The shift in stance was reportedly made without new intelligence, and some officials suggest it may be politically driven. The debate over the origins of Covid-19 has been ongoing, with some arguing that the lab leak theory was unfairly dismissed early on. The discussion has been marked by politicization and concerns over censorship.

Main themes

  • Covid-19 origins
  • Lab leak theory
  • Politicization of science
  • Censorship and misinformation
  • US-China relations

What commenters say

  • The CIA's shift in stance on the lab leak theory may be politically motivated, particularly given the lack of new intelligence behind the decision.
  • The lab leak theory was unfairly dismissed early on, and its suppression may have been driven by a desire to avoid blaming China.
  • There is no conclusive evidence to support either the lab leak theory or the animal origin theory, and both possibilities should be considered.
  • The debate over Covid-19's origins has been hindered by politicization, censorship, and a lack of transparency, particularly from Chinese authorities.
  • The lab leak theory and animal origin theory are not mutually exclusive, and it is possible that the virus originated from a lab studying animal coronaviruses.
  • Some scientists who suggested the lab leak theory early on faced backlash and censorship, which may have contributed to the suppression of the theory.
  • The US's relationship with China should not be a factor in determining the origins of Covid-19, and the focus should be on finding the truth rather than avoiding blame.
  • The lack of access to information and free speech in China has made it difficult to determine the origins of Covid-19, leading to the spread of conspiracy theories and mistrust.