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How to Kill a Startup Idea with Google Keyword Planner and AdWords: A Case Study (psl.com)

568 points by treblig · 2456 days ago · 188 comments on HN

Article summary

Pioneer Square Labs, a startup studio, shared a case study on how they killed one of their ideas, Xylo, an online platform to connect music teachers with students. The idea was tested using Google Keyword Planner and AdWords, and the results showed that the demand was not sufficient to justify the costs of acquiring customers. The studio concluded that the market was too competitive and that the supply side was already mobilized, making it difficult to create a viable business. The case study aims to help other founders think about early validation and how to make informed decisions about their ideas.

Main themes

  • startup validation
  • market research
  • commission-based models
  • marketplace dynamics
  • supply-side defection
  • advertising and customer acquisition

What commenters say

  • The Uber-like model of taking a commission on transactions is not always viable, especially for services that involve long-term relationships between providers and customers.
  • Marketplaces that facilitate connections between service providers and customers can be easily cut out once the relationship is established, leading to supply-side defection.
  • Some argue that providing additional services, such as payment processing, escrow, and vetting, can add value to the platform and reduce the likelihood of defection.
  • Others believe that the key to success lies in creating a platform that provides a unique experience or value proposition that cannot be easily replicated by competitors.
  • The use of Google Keyword Planner and AdWords can be a useful tool for testing ideas, but it is not foolproof and should be used in conjunction with other forms of validation.
  • The high cost of acquiring customers through advertising can be a major obstacle for startups, and alternative strategies, such as word-of-mouth referrals, may be more effective.
  • Some commenters argued that the idea of Xylo was flawed from the start, and that the market research and testing only confirmed what was already obvious.
  • Others suggested that the studio's approach to testing and validation was too narrow, and that a more comprehensive approach might have yielded different results.