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Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010) (news.ycombinator.com)

908 points by tcharlton · 2476 days ago · 437 comments on HN

Article summary

The article is not available, but the discussion reveals it was about predictions for the 2010 decade. Commenters shared their thoughts on various topics, including technology, politics, and industry trends. The discussion covered a wide range of subjects, from the potential for network analysis and data mining to impact politics to the future of programming languages and software development. The commenters also reflected on the accuracy of past predictions, including those related to Microsoft's future and the growth of certain technologies.

Main themes

  • technology predictions
  • industry trends
  • politics and data
  • software development
  • company performance

What commenters say

  • Network analysis and data mining will have a significant impact on politics in the future, potentially leading to major changes in the way information is used and regulated. Some commenters believe that the industry will move towards simpler, more elegant programming languages and development tools, while others argue that complexity will continue to increase. The growth of certain companies, such as Microsoft, was underestimated in the past, and their success can be attributed to various factors, including changes in leadership and strategic decisions. Others argue that the success of companies like Microsoft is due to broader market trends rather than any specific actions taken by the company. The use of tracking technology, such as location services, will become more widespread and potentially seen as a necessary aspect of parenting. Some commenters believe that the industry will continue to prioritize simplicity and ease of use, while others see a trend towards increased complexity and bloat. The impact of past predictions on current events is a subject of debate, with some arguing that they were accurate and others seeing them as overly optimistic or pessimistic. Despite the challenges and complexities of the industry, some commenters see opportunities for innovation and growth, particularly in areas such as supercompilation and zero-cost abstractions.